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Thursday, December 2, 2010

Weekend Picks, 11th Edition (14th Week of the Season)

As some lesser version of normalcy returns to the Treasure Valley and to Bronco fans world wide, we find ourselves smack dab in the middle of another week that ends with a Boise State football game. The worst part for us is that we are down to only two more contests this season. The best part is that there are some really good games on this weekend, many of which I will feature here in an attempt to pick winners and losers. Let's just call it "Championship Saturday" and get on with it!

Friday, December 3rd at 8:15 PM

(6-5, 4-4 Big 10)
at

(7-4, 5-3 WAC)

The Bulldogs have had a pretty disappointing season. They have lost three games in conference (to Boise State, Hawai'i, and Nevada) and narrowly scraped by bottom-feeding Idaho last weekend at home. Have they mailed it in yet? It is sure looking like it. That's too bad because they have a feisty Fighting Illini team coming into Bulldog Stadium and then a bowl game to look forward to. It's sad that it took Fresno State almost 8 full quarters of football before they finally got an offensive touchdown in the books. Running back Robbie Rouse has tapered off and quarterback Ryan Colburn is still an average player. Illinois on the other hand, has played spoiler a couple of times in the Big 19 and are doing pretty well considering their preseason (complete lack of) hype. Fresno should win this game as long as they show up and play up to the level that they are capable of. They are at home after all. This pick is based entirely on me banking that they will decide to play.
Prediction: Bulldogs 35, Fighting Illini 31

Saturday, November 4th at 1 PM

(11-1, 6-1 WAC)
at

(5-6, 4-3 WAC)

Can anyone say "trap game?" After pulling off the biggest win in school history last week over Boise State, the Wolfpack must travel to Ruston, Louisiana to take on a decent Bulldog team. How sad would it be (for them) if they lost? This has all the makings of a let down game. Nevada still has their heads back in last Friday, celebrating and reminiscing on the elation of the overtime victory. Yet somehow they have to focus on the now and prepare for a scrappy Louisiana Tech squad that almost always plays tough at home. Combine that with the fact that they need this last victory to become bowl eligible and you have a very determined Bulldog team on you hands. The Wolfpack is ripe for a loss. But will it happen? I am not ready to pick that upset. I think that Nevada is talented enough that they could afford to sleepwalk through part or all of this game and still win. It will be closer on the scoreboard than it should be for that reason.
Prediction: Wolfpack 38, Bulldogs 35

Saturday, November 4th at 3 PM

(1-11, 0-7 WAC)
at

(5-7, 2-5 WAC)

The Vandals were so close to upsetting Fresno State last weekend. Had they done that, all that would have remained between them and the Humanitarian Bowl would be the lowly Spartans. Unfortunately the Bulldogs came alive in the last minute to seal the win for themselves. Now all Idaho is left with is pride. Do they have any? Do they have what it takes to save some face against San Jose State? I would think yes. Although, Spartan quarterback Jordan La Secla had a career game last week against Louisiana Tech, throwing for 496 yards. This match up has the potential to be close and San Jose State could even pull off the upset, depending on the state of mind of each team involved. Just like Fresno State, I am depending on the Vandals to be ready and prepared mentally for this one. That and the Spartans really suck.
Prediction: Vandals 42, Spartans 28

Saturday, November 4th at 8:30 PM

(2-10, 2-6 MWC)
at

(9-3, 7-1 WAC)

The Rainbow Warriors have clinched at least a share of the WAC title as they finish up the season out of conference. It has been a great season for Hawai'i as they have reverted back to the Timmy Chang/Colt Brennan days of passing the ball all over the yard. Uncharacteristically, they have also found a running back using Alex Green. He is a big kid and gains yardage in decent-sized chunks. It will be a tough task for the Runnin' Rebels to try and stop Green, quarterback Bryant Moniz and his two great receivers. This is the same UNLV team that got smoked at Idaho earlier in the season. In other words, this game isn't going to be close.
Prediction: Rainbow Warriors 45, Runnin' Rebels 21

Saturday, November 4th at 1 PM

(4-7, 2-5 WAC)
at

(10-1, 6-1 WAC)

We will be able to tell just how amazing of a coach Chris Petersen is after this game is over. The Broncos are coming off on a devastating loss on the road at Nevada and are still trying to recover emotionally. How they come out and perform on Saturday will be a sign of how well Coach Pete has prepared and taught them during practice this last week. I think you will see a more humble, more focused Boise State squad that picked up a valuable lesson in Reno. The defense will have to stop the Aggies' dual threat quarterback Diondre Borel as well as that beast of a running back known as Derrvin Speight. I would like to see the defense shore up a lot as well as see the offense possess the ball a lot longer than they did in the second half last Friday. This should be a great senior day game and the Broncos should win fairly easily. I want to see all the seniors that don't get to play very much out there to start the game. That would be cool. Kyle Brotzman better get the biggest standing ovation in the history of Bronco Stadium for all that he has done in his 4 years at Boise State. Anything less than that would be a travesty.
Prediction: Broncos 52, Aggies 13

Saturday, November 4th at 1:30 PM

(11-0, 8-0 Pac-10)
at

(5-6, 4-4 Pac-10)

The Civil War is upon us yet again as College GameDay rolls into town. Too bad this year's game features on team that is having a hard time winning consistently. That would be the Beavers. They started off the year playing two very tough road games against TCU and Boise State, both of which they lost. In fact, with the exception of at Arizona, they play very poorly on the road. It doesn't help that they lost a huge part of their offense when James Rodgers went down earlier in the season. On the other hand, Oregon is living large and has dominated most of their opponents, especially in the second half. D-bag Coach Chip Kelley has his Ducks playing very well and are one win away from their first ever bid to play for a National Championship. All that stands in their way is in-state rival Oregon State. This game is in Corvallis, which is a huge advantage for the Beavers. Too bad that won't be enough. I see it being close in the beginning before the Ducks pull away, just as they have most games this season.
Prediction: Ducks 52, Beavers 24

Saturday, November 4th at 2 PM
SEC Chamionship Game

(12-0, 8-0 SEC)
vs.

(9-3, 5-3 SEC)

As you all know, Cam Newton has been ruled eligible to play by the NCAA for ludicrous reasons that are not known to normal man (I won't go into it here, just click this sentence and read my previous post about it). What that means is that Auburn has the best play maker in the country at their disposal. Look for him to make lost of amazing runs and throws on Saturday. The first time the Tigers played the Gamecocks this season was in week 4 at home and Auburn overcame a deficit (what's new) to pull out the win 35 to 27. South Carolina has been playing over their heads basically all season and there is no reason to think that they will stop now. Quarterback Stephen Garcia has played pretty good for most of the season and has found his play-maker Alshon Jeffrey often. Expect that to be the bread and butter for the Gamecocks on Saturday. With Newton at the helm, I just don't see him letting the Tigers lose, especially with the National Championship game waiting for them.
Prediction: Tigers 42, Gamecocks 38

Saturday, November 4th at 5:45 PM
ACC Championship Game

(9-3, 6-2 ACC)
vs.

(10-2, 8-0 ACC)

The Hokies have been on a tear in the ACC after opening up 0-2 for the season. They have gotten progressively better as each game has gone by. The Seminoles lost at Oklahoma early in the season and had a hiccup against the two teams from North Carolina, but have played very well and consistently all year long. This should be a great match up as Florida State tries to contain Tyrod Taylor and the stable of running backs that Virginia Tech send out. The Hokies have to contend with Christian Ponder and his great receivers. An Orange Bowl berth is at stake for both teams. Whoever loses will be stuck elsewhere.
Prediction: Hokies 38, Seminoles 31

Saturday, November 4th at 6 PM
Big 12 Championship Game

(10-2, 6-2 Big 12)
vs.

(10-2, 6-2 Big 12)

The Sooners knocked off in-state rival Oklahoma State on the road last Saturday to earn their spot in this game. Quarterback Landry Jones is playing very well and has a great group of receivers and running backs around him, namely Ryan Broyles and DeMarco Murray. The Huskers hope to have quarterback Taylor Martinez back and ready to play so as to have all of their weapons on the field. A berth in the Fiesta Bowl is on the line and I would expect nothing short of an amazing game from both teams. Nebraska's defense was given their black shirts back this year from rageaholic head coach Bo Pelini and are ranked 8th nationally in total defense. That will bode well for them. I think it happens for the Huskers, unlike last year.
Upset Special!!!!
Prediction: Corn Huskers 35, Sooners 34

Record coming into this week: 57-16

So there we have it. I picked all of the WAC games as well as all of the BCS conference title games. It should be a great weekend for college football fans. Make sure you check back in tomorrow and take a gander at my Weekly PTW! Let's go Broncos!

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