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Showing posts with label Nevada Wolfpack. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Nevada Wolfpack. Show all posts

Tuesday, January 4, 2011

Which is a Better BroncoTeam, 2009 or 2010?

This is the hot topic now that the football season is officially over for Boise State. I know, it's sad, but life goes on. Look on the bright side, there are only 2 months until spring ball starts! We are left with a few questions that I intend to answer to the best of my abilities. I will tackle one today and go from there.


Was this the best (most talented team) in Boise State history?


This is a loaded question. Such an inquiry deems it necessary to look at numbers, but at the same time to follow your heart. The final record of this year's team was 12-1, with a close overtime loss at Nevada. Last year the team won the Fiesta Bowl over TCU and finished 14-0. The 2006 team ended 13-0 with the now famous thrilling OT win over Oklahoma in the Fiesta Bowl. If you go by just the records then no, 2010 was not the best Bronco team. Luckily for me I don't look at just the record.

There is a difference between most successful and most talented. Consider this-the 2010 Boise State Broncos averaged 521 yards gained per game (beating the 517 record mark set 36 years ago), set the record for pass efficiency at 180, and averaged 45.1 points per game (which is in 3rd place behind the 2002 and 2004 teams). That's just the offense's numbers. On defense, the Broncos registered a record 49 sacks, held opposing offenses to a pass efficiency rating of 95.2, gave up only 255 yards per game (the best total in 40 years), and allowed an average of 13.6 points per game. All that totals up to a school record 32.3 average margin of victory. That is impressive. That alone will prove that 2010 was the most talented Boise State group yet.

But wait there's more. With the Las Vegas Bowl trophy sitting in Coach Pete's office (or wherever it is) we say good bye to the seniors. Who are they and what did they do? Well, Titus Young holds the record for most career receiving yards with 3,063. Austin Pettis has 39 career touchdowns (number 1 in the record book), and the most receiving touchdowns in a single season (14). He also sits second behind Titus for career receiving yards. Kyle Brotzman is the highest scoring kicker in NCAA history and the highest scoring player (not just kicker) in Boise State history with 439 points. Don't forget the man-beast that is Ryan Winterswyk who was named as a junior to the WAC all-decade team. He sacked a lot of quarterbacks in his college career. There is also Jeron Johnson, Brandyn Thompson, Darrell Acrey, Matt Slater, Tommy Gallarda, and Will Lawrence amongst other Bronco name mainstays. It's too bad Winston Venable doesn't have any more eligibility left. His time with us was so short.

In other words, the success and talent in this senior class in incredible. That is why I think 2010 was the most talented in Boise State history. Don't let a bad second half against Nevada tarnish your memory or view of this team. Think about it, they were 30 minutes, a defended pass, a made tackle, a made field goal, a completed pass, a quarterback sack, or a blocked field goal away from a date with Wisconsin in the Rose Bowl. Had they made it to Pasadena and won, this debate wouldn't even be happening. Like I said, they were the most talented, but unfortunately not the most successful. Those are two different arguments. As for me, I love this team, this group of guys, and I will be sad to see them go.

What is exciting is what is ahead of us. There is plenty of talent on the roster. This article from the Idaho Statesman explains more. I will go into more detail on that tomorrow. Until then, check out the Sugar Bowl tonight!

Saturday, January 1, 2011

Bronco Chase's Bowl Picks, 6th Edition

Now that's more like it! I have been suffering some tough bowl pick losses lately and I really needed a good day to make me feel better. I sure got it. I started off the new year at 4-0 before settling down to watch the two BCS Bowls that we were graciously offered by ESPN. TCU won the Rose Bowl. It was a great game and a few mistakes by Wisconsin (missed field goal, bad clock management at the end of the first half) cost them the game. Congratulations to the Horned Frogs. They won it for the non-AQ schools. Next came the Fiesta Bowl. Oklahoma found themselves in another lose/lose situation. If they win the game, then everybody says "Well they were supposed to. No biggee." But if the Sooners lose, the consensus is "They suck." But they took care of business and finally won a BCS game for Bob Stoops after 5 failed attempts. It was one of those games where Oklahoma dominated, but UConn hung around enough to not allow me to turn off the TV. Frustrating. I would venture to say this the Huskies are one of the worst teams to ever play in a BCS Bowl (2006 Pitt, 2008 Hawai'i). Another observation; did you notice that the vaunted SEC was 0-3 in bowl games before January 1st? Well things changed when Alabama blew out Michigan State, Mississippi State owned Michigan, and Florida hung tough against Penn State to send Urban Meyer off on a good note. Good for them. The conference really needed that boost. Anyway, let's recap the action and go from there.

TicketCity Bowl
My prediction was Texas Tech wins 35 to 28
Final score: Red Raiders 45, Wildcats 38






Outback Bowl
My prediction was Florida wins 24 to 21
Final score: Gators 37, Nittany Lions 24






Capital One Bowl
My prediction was Alabama wins 31 to 21
Final score: Crimson Tide 49, Spartans 7







Gator Bowl
My prediction was Mississippi State wins 35 to 34
Final score: Bulldogs 52, Wolverines 14






Rose Bowl Game presented by VIZIO
My prediction was TCU wins 21 to 18
Final score: Horned Frogs 21, Badgers 19






Tostitos Fiesta Bowl
My prediction was Oklahoma wins 38 to 21
Final score: Sooners 48, Huskies 20






Batch total: 6-0
Bowl totals: 17-11
Season total: 82-28

__________________________

As a reminder: if the word "prediction" has stars, then it is an upset. It will look like this:

*Prediction*:

Also, I have analyzed some of the games with a write up, but not all of them. I wrote on all the bowls were WAC teams are involved and the BCS Bowls. The others just have when, where, the bowl name, who's playing, and a score prediction. Finally, I am including these bowls in my season long record.

January 3rd at 6:30 PM
Discover Orange Bowl
Miami, Florida

(11-1, 8-1 Pac 10)
vs.

(11-2, 8-0 ACC)




Line: Stanford favored by 3
I am really looking forward to this game. The Hokies have won 11 straight games after starting the season 0-2. The Cardinal’s only loss came at Autzen Stadium against Oregon. Both squads are playing extremely well and the Orange Bowl should be an epic clash. Virginia Tech is famous for their great defenses, but this year has been a down one for many people. I think Stanford actually has the better defense in this game. In college football, I would take Tyrod Taylor over Andrew Luck as far as play-making goes. Plus, the Hokies have three very talented and explosive running backs. The game will be close. The Cardinal will make enough stops throughout and possess the ball to keep Taylor off the field.
Prediction: Cardinal 24, Hokies 21

January 4th at 6:30 PM
AllState Sugar Bowl
New Orleans, Louisiana

(11-1, 7-1 Big 10)
vs.

(10-2, 6-2 SEC)




Line: Ohio State favored by 4
Arkansas earned their BCS Bowl the hard way this year. They faced a tough schedule and came out on top, losing only to Auburn and Alabama along the way. Ryan Mallett at quarterback is tough for anyone to stop, as well as the Hogs great receiving core. The Buckeyes, on the other hand, have had a significantly week schedule and lost to the toughest team they played, which was Wisconsin. Still, Ohio States plays very well on defense and has the offense to compliment it well. Terrelle Pryor is developing into a very good pocket passer that uses his legs only when necessary. The Buckeyes are too talented and deep to lose this game. 2 BCS Bowl wins in a row for Jim Tressel. But more importantly, the Buckeyes finally beat an SEC team in a BCS Bowl game.
Prediction: Buckeyes 31, Razorbacks 24

January 6th at 6 PM
GoDaddy.com Bowl
Mobile, Alabama

6-6, 5-3 Sun Belt)
vs.

(9-4, 7-1 MAC)




Line: Miami (OH) favored by 2
Prediction: Redhawks 28, Blue Raiders 24

January 7th at 6 PM
AT&T Cotton Bowl
Arlington, Texas

(10-2, 6-2 SEC)
vs.

(9-3, 6-2 Big 12)




Line: LSU favored by 1
*Prediction*: Aggies 24, Tigers 21

January 8th at 10 AM
BBVA Compass Bowl
Birmingham, Alabama

(7-5, 5-2 Big East)
vs.

(6-6, 2-6 SEC)




Line: Pittsburgh favored by 3
Prediction: Panthers 31, Wildcats 21

January 9th at 7 PM
Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl
San Francisco, California

(12-1, 7-1 WAC)
vs.

(7-5, 4-4 ACC)




Line: Nevada favored by 10
The Eagles started off the season poorly. They were at 2-5 before rattling off 5 wins in a row to finish the season and secure a spot in a bowl game. It was their rugged defense against the run (top ranked in the nation) that has allowed them to get to this point. What is their reward? The top ranked rushing offense and one of the most prolific in the history of college football. It is strength against strength in San Francisco and it should be a lower scoring affair than one would think with the Nevada Wolfpack in the game. Colin Kaepernick and Vai Taua will do enough to put their squad on top, even with a great Boston College defense trying to stop him. Colin Kaepernick is 0-3 as a starter in bowl games. He has already gotten the Boise State monkey off of his back, can he do the same thing in San Francisco? This will be his year. (On a side note, I hate Boston College. This one is personal.)
Prediction: Wolfpack 28, Eagles 21


Bowl totals: 17-11
Season total: 82-28

If you are paying attention, you know that I have only 1 bowl game left to pick, and it is the National Championship between Oregon and Auburn. I will be posting that as well as a detailed preview and analysis of the match up and what it means for college football. Until then, enjoy the end of a fantastic season and stay tuned to Bronco Chase for some stories, analysis, ideas, and whatever else I come up with.

Monday, December 6, 2010

WAC Weekend Recap, Week 14

I cannot believe that the season is over. It has gone by way too fast, as it always does. But we still have bowl season to look forward to! The WAC got four teams bowl eligible and all of them have accepted invites to play. As you all know, the WAC Champion is actually a three way tie this year: Boise State, Hawai'i, and Nevada. That means that the Broncos have won the title 8 out of the past 9 years. That is just ridiculous. Congrats to them and good luck in their upcoming move to the Mountain West. Anyway, let's get going recapping the weekend.

Illinois Fighting Illini at Fresno State Bulldogs
My prediction was Fresno State wins 35 to 31
Final score: Bulldogs 25, Fighting Illini 23
Fresno State got off to a quick start in this game and then did just enough to hold off Illinois at the end to take the "W." It was 16-0 by the time the first quarter ticked away its last second. This was a big win for Pat Hill and the Bulldogs because it got them to 8 wins for the year and silenced some of their critics, at least for the moment. Illinois is a very young team and will have plenty of success here in the next few years. Both teams are going to bowl games. Illinois takes on Baylor of the Big 12 in the Texas Bowl, which takes place on December 29th. Fresno State takes on Northern Illinois of the MAC in the uDrove Humanitarian Bowl on December 18th. Let's hope Fresno actually shows up this year for their bowl game...

Nevada Wolfpack at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
My prediction was Nevada wins 38 to 35
Final score: Wolfpack 35, Bulldogs 17
The Wolfpack was destined for a letdown after the emotions of beating Boise State the week before, and it happened. Well, it lasted for approximately the duration of the first half before pulling away and winning. Kaepernick and Taua both had huge games on the ground and were just too much for the Bulldogs. It has been an up and down season for Louisiana Tech and they will be watching bowl season from their own couches yet again. I think Sonny Dykes has something brewing down in Ruston. We will see in the next couple of years. Nevada earned themselves a date with the Boston College Eagles in the Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl in San Francisco on January 9th. That should be an interesting match up.

San Jose State Spartans at Idaho Vandals
My prediction was Idaho wins 42 to 28
Final score: Vandals 26, Spartans 23 (OT)
Idaho probably didn't deserve to win this game. Remember the weekend before when they were the more motivated team against Fresno State and narrowly came away with the upset? They were on the other side of things this time. San Jose State played better and actually had the lead at halftime. In overtime, San Jose State got a field goal and Idaho ended it with a touchdown. Too bad neither of these teams is going to a bowl game this year. The Vandals have 6 wins, but one came against an FCS opponent in North Dakota. Better luck next year.

UNLV Runnin' Rebels at Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
My prediction was Hawai'i wins 45 to 21
Final score: Rainbow Warriors 59, Runnin' Rebels 21
This game went exactly as I expected it to go. Hawai'i was obviously the better team and took it to UNLV from the start. The Runnin' Rebels, however, did put a couple of touchdowns up on the board late, most likely against the Rainbow Warriors' second and third stringers. Quarterback Bryant Moniz had a modest 380 yards passing. The heavy lifting was done by running back Alex Green, who had 136 yards on 15 carries. UNLV will not be going to a bowl this year as they have only two wins to their name. Too bad. Hawai'i, however, accepted their bid to the Hawai'i Bowl about a month ago. They will take on Tulse of Conference USA and it all goes down on Christmas Eve. It should be a good one because both teams are among the highest scoring in the nation.

Oregon Ducks at Oregon State Beavers
My prediction was Oregon wins 52 to 24
Final score: Ducks 37, Beavers 20
Oregon State hung around a lot more than I thought they were going to. Of course, Oregon still came out on top, but it wasn't as pretty as some of their other wins have been. What did the Beavers in was quarterback Ryan Katz's 3 interceptions. That and the fact that they couldn't stop LaMichael James and Kenjon Barner, who rushed for 134 and 133 yards respectively. Unfortunately for the Beavers, they will not be playing in a bowl game this year. That's too bad because they are actually a good team. They just ran into some tough competition early and lost a huge part of their offense when James Rodgers went down against Arizona. The Ducks have earned their spot in the National Championship Game and will face Auburn in Glendale, AZ on January 10th. I hope no one likes defense because there won't be much of it in this game!

Auburn Tigers vs. South Carolina Gamecocks
My prediction was Auburn wins 42 to 38
Final score: Tigers 56, Gamecocks 17
Auburn absolutely pasted South Carolina to win the SEC Championship game in Atlanta, Georgia. It wasn't even a game, although it was disguised and promoted as one. Scam Newton played incredibly well, throwing for 335 yards and rushing 73 more. He is the team. Their defense can afford to gamble and basically suck because they know that Newton will just score and bail them out. The Gamecocks just had a really bad game, especially quarterback Stephen Garcia, he threw 2 interceptions. They will take on Florida State (another vanquished conference champion game opponent, this one from the ACC) in the Chick-fil-A Bowl in Atlanta, Georgia on December 31st. Maybe the Gamecocks can win in Atlanta this time around!

Florida State Seminoles vs. Virginia Tech Hokies
My prediction was Virginia Tech wins 38 to 31
Final score: Hokies 44, Seminoles 33
Virginia Tech is really good. Imagine if they would not have lost to James Madison in their second game of the season...They probably would have ended up in the Orange Bowl anyway as the ACC Champion. The Hokies became the first team in FBS history to win 11 straight games after starting the season 0-2. I hope people are noticing this. Boise State beat Virginia Tech...Tyrod Taylor is amazing. I don't understand why he isn't getting more Heisman love for all that he has done this year and what he means to his team. Unfortunately for Florida State, their regular starting quarterback Christian Ponder wasn't able to play with an elbow injury. Back up EJ Manuel threw 2 interceptions. They can avenge themselves against South Carolina in the Chick-fil-A Bowl in Atlanta, Georgia on December 31st. As I mentioned, Virginia Tech will play in the Orange Bowl in Miami, Florida on January 3rd against the Stanford Cardinal.

Oklahoma Sooners vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers
My prediction was Nebraska wins 35 to 34 in an upset special
Final score: Sooners 23, Cornhuskers 20
I really don't like Oklahoma, mainly because their coach Bob Stoops is a giant d-bag. Anyway, they managed to hold of Nebraska and score enough points to earn the win. I will give them credit for that. For the second year in a row, the 'Huskers fall short of the Big 12 title and are on their way to the Holiday Bowl. It's hard to pick an upset special when all the favored teams win. Oh well. Nebraska will face the Washington Huskies, whom they slaughtered earlier in the season in Seattle 56-21. The Holiday Bowl takes place in San Diego on 30th. Oklahoma will play Connecticut in the Fiesta Bowl in Glendale, Arizona on January 1st. Let's see if Stoops can finally win a BCS Bowl Game. Here's to hoping he doesn't.

Record coming in: 57-16
This week (including Boise State's win over Utah State): 8-1
Total: 65-17

The regular season has ended, as you may have heard. I will be picking winners for all 35 bowl games. The first one takes place on December 18th, which is a Saturday. Look for the picks on either the 16th or the 17th. Make sure you check back in tomorrow and the rest of this week for more Boise State information. Let's go Broncos!

Sunday, December 5, 2010

Broncos Regroup, Throttle Utah State

What is the true sign of a good coach? Some may say that it is how the team does in big games. I have a hard time arguing against that, but I have another definition; How does the team do following a big loss? That is really how you know how good of a coach you have. Exhibit A: Yesterday at Bronco Stadium. Boise State had lost just about everything with the overtime loss to Nevada (especially for many fans). What else was there to play for? Yet Chris Petersen kept his players in check, treating them and acting like he has all year. His demeanor did not change despite the devastating loss last weekend. I will take Coach Pete over any other coach in the country, hands down. According to this story, he had his players "fake it" so as to maintain the focus and attention that they need during practice and the game. I will continue with this later on. For now, let's look at some numbers from the Broncos win over the Aggies of Utah State.

Yardage:
......Broncos......Aggies
Rushing-202.........250
Passing-251..........41
..Total-453.........291

First Downs:
......Broncos......Aggies
........26...........17

Average Gain Per Play:
......Broncos......Aggies
........6.6..........4.3


Rushing Attempts/Average Gain Per Rush:

......Broncos......Aggies
.......33/6.1......51/4.9

Number of Sacks on Opposing Quarterback/Yards:
......Broncos......Aggies
........4/21.........0/0

Turnovers:
......Broncos......Aggies
.........0............2

As you can see, Boise State significantly out-gained the Aggies in total yards. The biggest differential was in the rushing production. But that is somewhat deceiving. Utah State rushed the ball 51 times for an average of 4.9 yards per. They weren't as efficient as Boise State, but still had some success. The 41 passing yards for the Aggies came on only 4 completions on 16 attempts. Diondre Borel had a rough outing on The Blue. The average gain per play is an important stat because it shows that the Broncos were more efficient overall than the Aggies. Boise State yet again had a sack party and at the same time didn't allow one themselves. That is always good to see. The Aggies' two turnovers were both interceptions, one coming at the very end of the game in the end zone. Overall, Boise State played very well on offense and Utah State, not so much. That's what I like to see.


What We Learned:



Coach Chris Petersen is amazing.
I know that I gushed about him already above, but it is worth it to mention it again. Think about it, how many teams would have just mailed it in and not cared after being tossed from National Title contention? The answer is a lot, most teams, actually (see Utah at Notre Dame after they lost to TCU). I am impressed. That is all I will say about that...


Utah State has some talent.
There is no question about that. Unfortunately for them, the injury bug had hit them hard all season long and couldn't find any type of consistency. What Gary Anderson is doing there is great to see. I hope they find their way into the Mountain West Conference. It will be interesting to see how they continue to get better as the seasons go by.


This senior class has been one of the best in Boise State history.
Look back at my last post and just see the guys that are graduating. They have been a huge part of the most dominating conference and post-season runs in Boise State, WAC, and national history. They will be sorely missed. Luckily, their production and success has allowed the Broncos to recruit some great players to follow in their footsteps.

WAC officials still suck. At least one of their terrible calls went our way yesterday. Just one more reason why I am glad that we are moving on.

Areas of Concern:

The only thing that concerns me is the way that the Broncos are defending a physical runner. Louisiana Tech's Lennon Creer gained some good yardage and he is a big guy. Nevada's Vai Taua gashed and gassed the Broncos. Kerwynn Williams plays very physical and was able to get some good runs in against Boise State. Byron Hout being done for the season has a lot to do with that, but only to a degree. The coaches will need to work on that for the bowl game, especially because Utah (the most likely opponent-in the Las Vegas Bowl) has some big, physical running backs.

Favorite Play:

Kellen Moore did it again. He shrugged a sack and ran for 11 yards or so and got the first down! It is great to see that part of his game coming along. The Dork Assassin still prefers to toss the rock, but he can tuck and run if he has to!

Thoughts and Tidbits:

The Aggies focus on defense was to stop the long ball. They did a very good job. Boise State was limited to 7 yards per pass completion, which is somewhat below their season average. They were exposed to the run game so Jeremy Avery and Doug Martin took advantage of it. The crowd at Bronco Stadium gave kicker Kyle Brotzman a huge round of applause when he was introduced as part of senior night. That was great to see.

Perception:

Boise State has fallen from the public eye and their ridiculous scrutiny. They are still eligible for a BCS Bowl Game, but it would take divine intervention or blackmail for that to take place. As I mentioned above, it looks like the Broncos will be taking on the Utah Utes in the Maaco Las Vegas Bowl. The Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl in San Francisco decided to go with Nevada and to that I say, have fun. I am excited for this match up. It is against another top 25 team instead of a mediocre 6-6 ACC squad. Besides, it was obvious that Boise State and their fans didn't want anything to do with the bowl in California. The Utes will be without their starting quarterback Jordan Wynn, who is having shoulder surgery here in the next few days, if it already hasn't happened. Utah has won 9 straight bowl games and will look to continue that streak. The Broncos will be excited and geared up to play this game. Las Vegas is a very popular destination as it is, so there will be plenty of fans there to cheer the team on. The official announcement will happen tonight on ESPN after the BCS Announcement Show. I can't wait.

Photos:

You know what to do. Enjoy them!

Come back tomorrow for my WAC Weekend Recap. That is all!

Thursday, December 2, 2010

Weekend Picks, 11th Edition (14th Week of the Season)

As some lesser version of normalcy returns to the Treasure Valley and to Bronco fans world wide, we find ourselves smack dab in the middle of another week that ends with a Boise State football game. The worst part for us is that we are down to only two more contests this season. The best part is that there are some really good games on this weekend, many of which I will feature here in an attempt to pick winners and losers. Let's just call it "Championship Saturday" and get on with it!

Friday, December 3rd at 8:15 PM

(6-5, 4-4 Big 10)
at

(7-4, 5-3 WAC)

The Bulldogs have had a pretty disappointing season. They have lost three games in conference (to Boise State, Hawai'i, and Nevada) and narrowly scraped by bottom-feeding Idaho last weekend at home. Have they mailed it in yet? It is sure looking like it. That's too bad because they have a feisty Fighting Illini team coming into Bulldog Stadium and then a bowl game to look forward to. It's sad that it took Fresno State almost 8 full quarters of football before they finally got an offensive touchdown in the books. Running back Robbie Rouse has tapered off and quarterback Ryan Colburn is still an average player. Illinois on the other hand, has played spoiler a couple of times in the Big 19 and are doing pretty well considering their preseason (complete lack of) hype. Fresno should win this game as long as they show up and play up to the level that they are capable of. They are at home after all. This pick is based entirely on me banking that they will decide to play.
Prediction: Bulldogs 35, Fighting Illini 31

Saturday, November 4th at 1 PM

(11-1, 6-1 WAC)
at

(5-6, 4-3 WAC)

Can anyone say "trap game?" After pulling off the biggest win in school history last week over Boise State, the Wolfpack must travel to Ruston, Louisiana to take on a decent Bulldog team. How sad would it be (for them) if they lost? This has all the makings of a let down game. Nevada still has their heads back in last Friday, celebrating and reminiscing on the elation of the overtime victory. Yet somehow they have to focus on the now and prepare for a scrappy Louisiana Tech squad that almost always plays tough at home. Combine that with the fact that they need this last victory to become bowl eligible and you have a very determined Bulldog team on you hands. The Wolfpack is ripe for a loss. But will it happen? I am not ready to pick that upset. I think that Nevada is talented enough that they could afford to sleepwalk through part or all of this game and still win. It will be closer on the scoreboard than it should be for that reason.
Prediction: Wolfpack 38, Bulldogs 35

Saturday, November 4th at 3 PM

(1-11, 0-7 WAC)
at

(5-7, 2-5 WAC)

The Vandals were so close to upsetting Fresno State last weekend. Had they done that, all that would have remained between them and the Humanitarian Bowl would be the lowly Spartans. Unfortunately the Bulldogs came alive in the last minute to seal the win for themselves. Now all Idaho is left with is pride. Do they have any? Do they have what it takes to save some face against San Jose State? I would think yes. Although, Spartan quarterback Jordan La Secla had a career game last week against Louisiana Tech, throwing for 496 yards. This match up has the potential to be close and San Jose State could even pull off the upset, depending on the state of mind of each team involved. Just like Fresno State, I am depending on the Vandals to be ready and prepared mentally for this one. That and the Spartans really suck.
Prediction: Vandals 42, Spartans 28

Saturday, November 4th at 8:30 PM

(2-10, 2-6 MWC)
at

(9-3, 7-1 WAC)

The Rainbow Warriors have clinched at least a share of the WAC title as they finish up the season out of conference. It has been a great season for Hawai'i as they have reverted back to the Timmy Chang/Colt Brennan days of passing the ball all over the yard. Uncharacteristically, they have also found a running back using Alex Green. He is a big kid and gains yardage in decent-sized chunks. It will be a tough task for the Runnin' Rebels to try and stop Green, quarterback Bryant Moniz and his two great receivers. This is the same UNLV team that got smoked at Idaho earlier in the season. In other words, this game isn't going to be close.
Prediction: Rainbow Warriors 45, Runnin' Rebels 21

Saturday, November 4th at 1 PM

(4-7, 2-5 WAC)
at

(10-1, 6-1 WAC)

We will be able to tell just how amazing of a coach Chris Petersen is after this game is over. The Broncos are coming off on a devastating loss on the road at Nevada and are still trying to recover emotionally. How they come out and perform on Saturday will be a sign of how well Coach Pete has prepared and taught them during practice this last week. I think you will see a more humble, more focused Boise State squad that picked up a valuable lesson in Reno. The defense will have to stop the Aggies' dual threat quarterback Diondre Borel as well as that beast of a running back known as Derrvin Speight. I would like to see the defense shore up a lot as well as see the offense possess the ball a lot longer than they did in the second half last Friday. This should be a great senior day game and the Broncos should win fairly easily. I want to see all the seniors that don't get to play very much out there to start the game. That would be cool. Kyle Brotzman better get the biggest standing ovation in the history of Bronco Stadium for all that he has done in his 4 years at Boise State. Anything less than that would be a travesty.
Prediction: Broncos 52, Aggies 13

Saturday, November 4th at 1:30 PM

(11-0, 8-0 Pac-10)
at

(5-6, 4-4 Pac-10)

The Civil War is upon us yet again as College GameDay rolls into town. Too bad this year's game features on team that is having a hard time winning consistently. That would be the Beavers. They started off the year playing two very tough road games against TCU and Boise State, both of which they lost. In fact, with the exception of at Arizona, they play very poorly on the road. It doesn't help that they lost a huge part of their offense when James Rodgers went down earlier in the season. On the other hand, Oregon is living large and has dominated most of their opponents, especially in the second half. D-bag Coach Chip Kelley has his Ducks playing very well and are one win away from their first ever bid to play for a National Championship. All that stands in their way is in-state rival Oregon State. This game is in Corvallis, which is a huge advantage for the Beavers. Too bad that won't be enough. I see it being close in the beginning before the Ducks pull away, just as they have most games this season.
Prediction: Ducks 52, Beavers 24

Saturday, November 4th at 2 PM
SEC Chamionship Game

(12-0, 8-0 SEC)
vs.

(9-3, 5-3 SEC)

As you all know, Cam Newton has been ruled eligible to play by the NCAA for ludicrous reasons that are not known to normal man (I won't go into it here, just click this sentence and read my previous post about it). What that means is that Auburn has the best play maker in the country at their disposal. Look for him to make lost of amazing runs and throws on Saturday. The first time the Tigers played the Gamecocks this season was in week 4 at home and Auburn overcame a deficit (what's new) to pull out the win 35 to 27. South Carolina has been playing over their heads basically all season and there is no reason to think that they will stop now. Quarterback Stephen Garcia has played pretty good for most of the season and has found his play-maker Alshon Jeffrey often. Expect that to be the bread and butter for the Gamecocks on Saturday. With Newton at the helm, I just don't see him letting the Tigers lose, especially with the National Championship game waiting for them.
Prediction: Tigers 42, Gamecocks 38

Saturday, November 4th at 5:45 PM
ACC Championship Game

(9-3, 6-2 ACC)
vs.

(10-2, 8-0 ACC)

The Hokies have been on a tear in the ACC after opening up 0-2 for the season. They have gotten progressively better as each game has gone by. The Seminoles lost at Oklahoma early in the season and had a hiccup against the two teams from North Carolina, but have played very well and consistently all year long. This should be a great match up as Florida State tries to contain Tyrod Taylor and the stable of running backs that Virginia Tech send out. The Hokies have to contend with Christian Ponder and his great receivers. An Orange Bowl berth is at stake for both teams. Whoever loses will be stuck elsewhere.
Prediction: Hokies 38, Seminoles 31

Saturday, November 4th at 6 PM
Big 12 Championship Game

(10-2, 6-2 Big 12)
vs.

(10-2, 6-2 Big 12)

The Sooners knocked off in-state rival Oklahoma State on the road last Saturday to earn their spot in this game. Quarterback Landry Jones is playing very well and has a great group of receivers and running backs around him, namely Ryan Broyles and DeMarco Murray. The Huskers hope to have quarterback Taylor Martinez back and ready to play so as to have all of their weapons on the field. A berth in the Fiesta Bowl is on the line and I would expect nothing short of an amazing game from both teams. Nebraska's defense was given their black shirts back this year from rageaholic head coach Bo Pelini and are ranked 8th nationally in total defense. That will bode well for them. I think it happens for the Huskers, unlike last year.
Upset Special!!!!
Prediction: Corn Huskers 35, Sooners 34

Record coming into this week: 57-16

So there we have it. I picked all of the WAC games as well as all of the BCS conference title games. It should be a great weekend for college football fans. Make sure you check back in tomorrow and take a gander at my Weekly PTW! Let's go Broncos!

Tuesday, November 30, 2010

What Went Wrong on Friday-My Perspective

I have gotten over the loss. I actually surprise myself because I have told myself for years that there are more important things than football and it's just a game. That mental resolve was severely tested over the weekend, but it remains steadfast and firm. Sunday was worse than Saturday for me, but life goes on. Now, I am not wishing to re-hash or re-open old wounds, but I do want to explain my thoughts on what happened Friday night in Reno now that a few days worth of digesting everything has taken place.

Coaching-
Coach Pete is nothing short of a God for Bronco fans. I am not sure that there is really anything different that he could have done to prepare his players mentally, but they weren't ready for what Nevada was throwing at them in the second half. It appeared that the team fell into the same trap that we as fans did; We are better than the Wolfpack and all we need to do is show up and we will win. Obviously, that was not the case.

Strength and Conditioning-
Boise State's defense was gassed in the second half. Part of that may have had to do with the fact that the starters hadn't played an entire game since Oregon State came to town. It also was because Nevada had possession of the ball for most of the 3rd and 4th quarters. Vai Taua wore them down and the Wolfpack capitalized on it.

Play Calling-

The Broncos' offensive coordinator panicked. Nevada brought heat on just about every play in the second half (mainly from man-yetti Dontay Moch) and Boise State never adjusted. For me, the worst part was that they got away from the power running game with which they had so much success in the first half. Doug Martin up the middle was earning the Broncos 5 or 6 yards per carry. The second half saw lots of passing for Kellen Moore and those ridiculous sweep plays where the running back had the ball 7 yards deep in the backfield. Obviously it was ineffective. They panicked and ditched the power running game. It's too bad because Martin was having a career night for yards and touchdowns, and because it would have eaten the clock and let the defense rest a little bit.

Dropped Passes-
It was painful to watch. Titus Young and Mitch Burroughs started the second half with drops. Momentum killers. "If it touches your hands you have to catch it son!"


Luck-

Or should I say, lack of it. Boise State forced one turnover from Nevada; a gorgeous George Iloke interception on Nevada's first drive. After that, there were at least two Wolfpack fumbles that somehow flew right into teammates' hands. What if the Broncos somehow were able to get at least one of those? Boise State just couldn't catch a break in the luck department. Maybe someone broke a mirror before the game...

Injuries/Suspensions-
Byron Hout and Michael "Canadian Bacon" Atkinson were sorely missed Friday night. Hout is an outstanding run-stopper. Also, the presence of Atkinson to spell some of the winded defensive lineman would have helped immensely. Tyler Shoemaker was injured and did not play and we really could have used him.

Referees-
I feel like I keep mentioning them, but they were really bad. As I have said many times, I am not blaming the officials for the loss. This post is about what went wrong for Boise State, and referees were part of it-They couldn't catch a break from them either. Karl Benson has since come out and said that the calls that were made were correct, including the field goal at the end of regulation. To that I say, I guess. If there wasn't any problem with them then why is there a need to come out and defend them? Also, look at this post on obnug.com. It has to do with the Brotzman's first field goal attempt and how there is no way that it missed. Take it for what it's worth...

What are your thoughts? Did I miss anything or is there something that I got wrong here? Please let me know. I am open for discussion on anything. Let's continue to get ready for the Utah State game on Saturday. Bowl season is coming!

Monday, November 29, 2010

WAC Weekend Recap, Turkey Day Edition

It seemed like the Weekend started off bad and just got worse. From the opening kick off on Friday to Anthony Martinez' game winning field goal for Nevada it just felt like it was going to be Boise State's day. Still, there is a lot to look forward to for this year and for many more years down the road. Again, I wish to congratulate the Wolfpack for a great game and for the victory. They earned it. Let's get to recapping this weekend's action and go from there.

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors at New Mexico State Aggies
My prediction was Hawai'i wins 45 to 14
Final score: Rainbow Warriors 59, Aggies 24
This game went exactly as I expected it to. Hawai'i is a good team and New Mexico State sucks. That is what happens in such a match up. Quarterback Bryant Moniz only had 315 passing yards for the Rainbow Warriors, which I guess is a bad game for him. Their running back Alex Green went off for 327 rushing yards on 19 carries. That is insane. Next week Hawai'i hosts UNLV on the islands and the Aggies do nothing. Their season is over.

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at San Jose State Spartans
My prediction was Louisiana Tech wins 35 to 17
Final score: Bulldogs 45, Spartans 38
Well this bad boy turned into a shoot out, huh? I never would have thought that San Jose State had the personnel, talent, or wits to participate in a shoot out, but obviously I was wrong. Spartan quarterback Jordan La Secla had a career night, exploding for 496 yards through the air on 35 completions. It only took him 65 attempts to do it, too. I think they abandoned the run game...On the other hand, Louisiana Tech went mainly with their bruising running back Lennon Creer to the tune of 252 yards on 30 carries. Holy crap now I am wishing that I watched this game! In the end, the Bulldogs pulled it out and can now look forward to hosting the Nevada Wolfpack, whom they need to beat to become bowl eligible. San Jose State travels up to the dump that is Moscow to take on the Vandals.

Idaho Vandals at Fresno State Bulldogs
My prediction was Fresno State wins 35 to 28
Final score: Bulldogs 23, Vandals 20
The craziest thing about this game was that Fresno State did not score an offensive touchdown until the final minute, which also gave the Bulldogs the win. That means that their offense hadn't found the end zone in almost 8 full quarters before then (they got shut out at Boise State last weekend). It was too good to be true for the Vandals. There was no way that they were going to pull off the win. Better luck next year Idaho. It's nice to see that their quarterback Nathan Enderle is consistent, throwing plenty of interceptions. One went for a touchdown for Fresno State the other way. The Bulldogs finish up the regular season hosting Illinois from the Big Ten. Idaho heads back home and will host the San Jose State Spartans. They will not be bowl eligible this year.

Arizona Wildcats at Oregon Ducks
My prediction was Oregon wins 51 to 35
Final score: Ducks 48, Wildcats 29
Arizona had the lead at halftime, but it just felt like it wasn't going to happen for them. Oregon did what it always does (except against Cal) and pushes the throttle full speed in the second half to turn the game into a blow out. The Ducks' defense is not that good, but opportunistic. Giving up as many points as they do each week is fine if their offense continues to score at will. Oregon has secured the Pac-10's automatic BCS bid with the win and now look to lock up their spot in the National Championship game. They have to travel to Corvallis for the Civil War against the Beavers next Saturday. Arizona will host their rival Arizona State. On a side note, Pac-10 officials are terrible. That is all.

Auburn Tigers at Alabama Crimson Tide
My prediction was Alabama wins in an upset special 35 to 34
Final score: Tigers 28, Crimson Tide 27
This contest was so frustrating to watch, especially in the second half. Alabama jumped out to a 24-0 lead early and subsequently blew it, just as we all were expecting. The Crimson Tide fumbled the ball two separate times as they were going in to score. They should have had at least 41 points. That was what was so frustrating. Also, it didn't help that they couldn't keep Nick Fairley and the rest of the Auburn defensive line out of the back field. In the end, Cam Newton was too much for the Crimson Tide and Auburn's National Championship hopes are still alive. Also, Auburn's T'Sharvan Bell body-slammed Alabama's quarterback Greg McElroy into the turf, concussing him and knocking him out of the game. It was brutal. Auburn now faces South Carolina in the SEC Championship game. That will be a good one. I wonder what will happen if the Tigers lose. Do they still get to the National Championship Game? The Crimson Tide is done for now as they wait to find out where they will go bowling.

Record coming in: 53-14
This week (including Boise State's loss to Nevada): 4-2
Total: 57-16

Ever since last Friday when Boise State got owned in the second half against Nevada, I have had one thing on my mind (and I'm sure many other Boise State fans have as well); the field goal(s). How in the world could Brotzman miss, especially the first one? Let me get one thing straight, I in no way blame Kyle for the loss. He was not the one out there missing tackles, letting Wolfpack receiver Rishard Matthews run free in the secondary, and allowing Dantay Moch terrorize Kellen Moore. Kyle should never have been put in that position if the team would have played like they can. Like I said, Nevada earned the win and they should get all the credit in the world for being resilient, hard-nosed, and relentless.

With that said, I have a huge bone to pick with the WAC and those morons that they use as referees. I have mentioned this before, but that was one of the the worst officiated games I have ever seen in my life. They did not cost the Broncos the game, I don't think, but it sure swung lots of momentum back to Nevada. Read my earlier post here in the "What We Learned" section for more. I don't want to go into details about it here. But let's get back to the field goal that would have won the game for Boise State. Look at the video here, or just look at it below:


Personally, I don't see how that was a miss. He was close enough that even if it was angled, it still would have gone in. I understand that for a Nevada fan, it was clearly a miss. I am not trying to argue that because it is basically impossible to tell on a 2-D television/computer screen. What blows my mind is the fact that the officials under the goal posts don't make any hand signals after it is kicked. They were blocked by the crowd and the stands at the beginning, but walk out with their arms to their side. I am utterly baffled. Like I said, it's difficult to tell from that particular video replay if it was good or not, but don't they normally have cameras under the goal posts as well? I don't know, I'm just frustrated at how the game went and poorly officiated it was. Call me a whiner if you want, but I would like an explanation if there is one out there.

Anyway, congrats to the Wolfpack for earning a share of the WAC title. I look forward to playing them for years to come in the Mountain West. Let's get ready for Utah State and most likely the Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl. Let's go Broncos!

Saturday, November 27, 2010

Broncos Fall Short at Nevada, Pretty Much Give it Away in the Second Half

Ouch, that really hurts. As upset and dejected as I felt last night watching Boise State's BCS Bowl and title hunt go sailing wide right and then wide left of the upright, it is important that we as Bronco fans and supporters look at the big picture of this season and what is to come. The result of the game was unexpected yes, but kudos to Nevada for being up to the task, not backing down, and pulling it out in the end. Life goes on and this football team is only going to get better as the years go by, there is no doubt about that. Let's look at some numbers and see just how bad it was.

Yardage:
......Broncos......Wolfpack
Rushing-145...........269
Passing-348...........259
..Total-493...........528

First Downs:
......Broncos......Wolfpack
........21............28

There really isn't that much more to look at. These stats tell the entire story. Uncharacteristically, Boise State gave up a lot of yards. I mean a lot. That is just ridiculous. The worst part is I can't quite put my finger on what happened. The Broncos had the Wolfpack stuffed the entire first half and were also firing on all cylinders offensively. The second half started and it looked like the teams had switched jerseys. Hats off to Nevada for making adjustments and earning the victory. I still can't believe that the Wolfpack was able to move the ball that easily against what has been a more than stellar Bronco defensive front. It was shocking. What was even more incredible was the fact that Boise State's offense sputtered against the Nevada defense. They were able to get pressure on Moore and make him uncomfortable in the pocket. The offensive line was disappointing in that regard. All of these things make up why Nevada had more yards and more first downs than the Broncos. It's baffling.

What We Learned:

Nevada was confident and it showed. They were not scared to play the Broncos. Credit to Chris Ault for preparing his guys and making the adjustments at half time. Maybe he is a good coach after all. The Wolfpack never flinched as Boise State got out to an early lead but they remained focused. A few hours before the game I told my wife that this game felt a lot like the one at Hawai'i in 2007 when they earned a trip to the Sugar Bowl. It felt like a trap and it sure was.


That was the worst officiated game I have seen in a really long time.
By no means is that the reason that Boise State lost, but it made it just that much harder to watch. The punt catch interference call was one of the worst referring decisions I can recall. It was a great play by Boise State. The pass interference against Jamar Taylor was ludicrous, and completely gave the momentum to the Wolfpack. Plus they missed an obvious one against Nevada the next drive where the defender grabbed Titus Young's facemask. Ridiculous. Like I said, the refs didn't lose the game for the Broncos, but it sure made me mad.

Coach Pete and the team are classy as always. Just listen to the post game press conferences. I am seriously glad that he is the coach.

Kyle Brotzman is still the man. How anyone has the audacity to threaten his life is ludicrous. There were reports that his family's house in Meridian was getting phone calls threatening to kill him. I am completely ashamed as a Bronco fan for that. I love Kyle Brotzman. He has been a great player for Boise State since he was a freshman and that does not change now. Blaming the loss on him is ridiculous. He wasn't out there missing tackles and letting Nevada's defense get in Moore's grill all night. Yes, his job is to make field goals and those two were pretty easy ones to make, but the defense and offense shouldn't have put him in that position. Death threats are asinine. How quickly we forget. Remember at the Fiesta Bowl when he did this and everybody fell in love with him?



Areas of Concern:

There are so many. Run defense. It was good all season up until this point. Protecting our quarterback. Special teams. You name it. Mainly in the second half, this was not a good performance for Boise State.

Favorite Play:

It has to be either the Doug Martin screen for an 80-something yard touchdown or the bomb to Titus Young that put the Broncos in field goal range to win the game. Too bad neither mattered in the end.

Thoughts and Tidbits:

This loss was completely deflating for fans. We go from national title contenders to the Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl against a crappy 6-6 team probably from the Pac-10 in just one game. Such is the life of college football fans. Kellen is still the man and will be in New York for the Heisman ceremony.

Weekly Player to Watch Recap:

Doug Martin was a complete beast last night. He scored three touchdowns and accounted for 230 total yards, both rushing and receiving. It was beautiful. The Muscle Hamster strikes again!

Perception:

The whole "style points" thing is now over as is the importance of national perception. Still, I think most voters and non-biased mature college football fans will recognize how good of a team Nevada is and that Boise State losing to them is not the biggest shock in the history of the sport. I will be cheering for the Horned Frogs in the Rose Bowl come January 1st! We as Bronco fans need to see the bigger picture. We have been spoiled with a great team and most schools in the nation would be more than happy with a 10-1 (possibly 11-1 or 12-1) season. We can't win all of them. Boise State has established itself as a premier program in the country and nothing will change that. The team will be good for years to come. I see many more BCS Bowls in Boise State's future. I am very proud to be a Bronco fan for the way that our team fought in a tough environment against a good team. The loss is disappointing and sad yes, but it is important to take it for what it is. If you say anything different than you might not be a true fan as it is. I love Boise State and everything the coaches and players stand for. Remember Stephen Kinsey at the Hawai'i game. We still have Utah State and then the bowl game to cheer for. Let's go Broncos!

Photos:

Click here!

Make sure you check back in on Monday for the Weekend Recap!

Friday, November 26, 2010

Weekly Player to Watch, 10th Edition

The day has finally arrived and in a mere 9 hours, it all goes down in the biggest little city in the world. That's right, the Boise State vs. Nevada, Reno match up is for all the marbles. Seriously, there is a lot at stake tonight for both teams, but especially for the Broncos. It has been documented over and over again, but the Wolfpack have a really bad defense. But don't be weary, my Pack fans, the defensive players swear that this year will be different. I have my doubts...

Anyway, when I was trying to decide who I would choose as my Weekly Player to Watch, I couldn't get last year's game out of my mind. You know, Boise State's jumps out to a big early lead, Nevada fights back only to see all their efforts go for naught as the Broncos run out the clock and h=get the "W." While i don't expect it to be all that close tonight, the running game for Boise State is going to be huge for controlling the game and eating some clock, keeping "Bird Leg" off the field. Last year on The Blue, a running back physical punished Nevada, especially late in the game. i am foreseeing a whole lot more of that happening. You all know what that means; this week's PTW is none other than the Muscle Hamster himself...Doug Martin!


Martin's numbers have been down a little bit the past couple of games due to the fact that teams are zoning in on Boise State's run game. You would think that they might want to spend a little bit of time trying to defend the pass as well...So Doug is due for a big game. Couple in the fact that the weather is supposed to be pretty bad with some winds (although last week didn't seem to be a problem against Fresno State), and you have a recipe for the Muscle Hamster to be running in the Nevada secondary all night. It happened to Virginia Tech and things didn't go so well for them.


In his senior at Saint Mary's, Martin was named the Best Offensive Back in San Joaquin County by the Stockton Sports Hall of Fame after he led the Tri-City Athletic League in yards per game. It's interesting to know as well that Martin was named second-team All-San Joaquin TV by Comcast Sports, and was named team MVP after rushing for 1,234 yards and 14 touchdowns. He complete his senior season with 1,373 total yards. He also rushed for 1,950 yards and 18 TDs as a junior. He was picked as team MVP, first-team all-section, all-area, and All-San Joaquin TV by Comcast Sports his junior year. Martin was only a 2-star recruit and had just one other scholarship offer, from Cal Poly. It sure looks like other schools missed out on a good one. Boise State is known for getting guys like him. From a 2-star recruit to scoring the winning touchdown at the Fiesta Bowl. That's quite the story.


Since coming to Boise State, Doug has been lighting up defensive backs on a regular basis, just ask that tool Shiloh Keo from Idaho. In fact, as a gray shirt freshman, Martin was named the scout offensive player of the year. He won the award over quarterback Kellen Moore, if that tells you anything about him. His running style is fearless and aggressive, causing pain for any defender who gets in his way. Part way through the season two years ago, Mr. Martin switched to defensive back and was a key part in the Broncos' win over Nevada, being used as a spy on Colin Kaepernick. Last season, after DJ Harper went down with a torn ACL, Doug switched back to his true position as tail back and hasn't looked back since. So let's see some more of this tonight down in Reno, Mr. Muscle Hamster!


As I mentioned above, Doug will be huge tonight in order for Boise State to take care of the Nevada Wolfpack. The offensive line has done great opening up holes for him and he has exploded through them. His success opens up the passing game and the deep bomb to Titus Young. I am picking that Martin will go for over 100 yards tonight and 2 touchdowns. Take it to the bank baby. This will be a great game and you know that the Hamster would love to send the Wolfpack and Kaepernick packing, toting and 0-4 record against the Broncos. He will help get it done. Just look at his face:


So dig in and enjoy tonight. I am really looking forward to it. Come back tomorrow and get my recap of what goes down. As always, let's go Broncos!